The Arizona Diamondbacks handled the St. Louis Cardinals 10-6 on Thursday, and the two names you need to know coming out of it are Tyler Locklear and Brandon Pfaadt. Locklear went 3-for-4 with a home run and three RBI. Pfaadt gave Arizona six solid innings. The Diamondbacks put up 10 runs and never really let St. Louis into it.
This game is done. Now let's talk about what it means going forward.
Arizona Diamondbacks Odds Movement: What Pfaadt's Start Does to Friday's Number
Pfaadt tossing six innings Thursday is directly relevant to the Friday slate, and not in the way you might hope if you're looking for a quick fade. Because Pfaadt is already used, Arizona heads into their Friday contest against Washington without him available on normal rest. That's the first thing to confirm when the probable pitchers post for the Diamondbacks at Nationals (6:46 PM ET Friday). Who is Arizona sending out there, and what does their bullpen look like after a 10-6 game that presumably leaned on the back end?
Ten runs of offense is a nice story, but 10-6 final scores are not clean ones. Arizona's bullpen threw at least a few innings absorbing a six-run game, and that usage is worth tracking before the Friday total or the Arizona side price settles. A tired or thin bullpen walking into Washington is a live tell on the over or a reason to shade the Nationals as a value dog.
St. Louis Cardinals News: Giving Up 10 Runs Is a Problem
St. Louis gave up double digits at home. That's not a noise-level result; that's a pitching staff that had a bad night and a lineup that couldn't answer. The Cardinals host Cincinnati on Friday at 8:16 PM ET, and the Cardinals' probable pitcher situation coming out of a 10-run loss is worth checking before any play on that side.
The Cardinals are still the better team than the Reds on paper for most of the season, but a rotation that just got lit up and a bullpen that worked a high-scoring game Thursday night introduces real fatigue risk on the back end. If St. Louis is posting a short-rest or questionable starter Friday, the total on Cardinals-Reds becomes a live conversation. Check the probable and the Cardinals' bullpen usage chart before touching it.
Locklear's Performance and the Prop Ledger
Tyler Locklear's 3-for-4 game with a homer is the kind of performance that gets his name into prop discussion the next time he shows up on a board. I don't have his season-long numbers in front of me right now, so I'm not ready to chase his bat prop cold, but a multi-hit, multi-RBI game with a home run is a genuine data point, not just noise. If he's been building toward this at-bat level, that's a line to watch.
Brandon Pfaadt's six innings also matter for his next start's strikeout and innings props. He got through a game cleanly, and that tends to be where the market resets a starting pitcher's floor.
What I'm Watching Next
The Friday probable pitchers for both Arizona and St. Louis are the first numbers I want to see. The Diamondbacks at Washington total and the Cardinals-Reds total both hinge on bullpen availability after Thursday's high-scoring affair. If Arizona sends out a backend arm on short notice and the Nationals post a lineup that can work counts, the over on that game has a real argument. If St. Louis is thin in relief Friday, the Cardinals-Reds total is similarly interesting from the high side.
Nothing clears my number until those probables and the bullpen usage reports come through. The game happened. The data is real. The next line is the one that matters now.
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