The Edge
Every line priced above fair value, right now.
Big Mike de-vigs the market across the major books to find each game’s no-vig fair price. When a book posts a number above it, the gap shows here — the book, the price, and the edge in EV%.
| League | Game | Bet | Book | Price | Fair | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MLB | St. Louis Cardinals @ Atlanta Braves 7:16 PM ET · Jul 2 | St. Louis Cardinals ML | BOL | +104 | 67.7% | +38.1% |
| MLB | St. Louis Cardinals @ Atlanta Braves 7:16 PM ET · Jul 2 | St. Louis Cardinals ML | LV | +104 | 67.7% | +38.1% |
| MLB | St. Louis Cardinals @ Atlanta Braves 7:16 PM ET · Jul 2 | St. Louis Cardinals ML | BETU | +104 | 67.7% | +38.1% |
| MLB | St. Louis Cardinals @ Atlanta Braves 7:16 PM ET · Jul 2 | Atlanta Braves ML | MGM | +260 | 32.3% | +16.3% |
| MLB | St. Louis Cardinals @ Atlanta Braves 7:16 PM ET · Jul 2 | Atlanta Braves ML | MyB | +230 | 32.3% | +6.6% |
| MLB | St. Louis Cardinals @ Atlanta Braves 7:16 PM ET · Jul 2 | Atlanta Braves ML | Fan | +225 | 32.3% | +5% |
| MLB | Chicago White Sox @ Cleveland Guardians 6:41 PM ET · Jul 2 | Chicago White Sox +1.5 | MyB | +100 | 52.3% | +4.5% |
| MLB | Chicago White Sox @ Cleveland Guardians 6:41 PM ET · Jul 2 | Chicago White Sox ML | MyB | +230 | 31.5% | +3.9% |
| MLB | St. Louis Cardinals @ Atlanta Braves 7:16 PM ET · Jul 2 | Atlanta Braves +2.5 | MGM | -102 | 51.8% | +2.5% |
| MLB | St. Louis Cardinals @ Atlanta Braves 7:16 PM ET · Jul 2 | Over 11.5 | MyB | -105 | 52% | +1.6% |
| WNBA | Chicago Sky @ Las Vegas Aces 10:00 PM ET · Jul 3 | Chicago Sky ML | MyB | +400 | 20.3% | +1.6% |
Fair value = consensus no-vig probability across books (median of de-vigged prices). EV% = expected value of the posted price against that fair probability. Lines move; verify at the book. Big Mike texts the ranked slate with his read on which gaps are real.
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